1Department of Global Innovative Drugs, Graduate School of Chung-Ang University, Chung-Ang University, Seoul, Korea
2Department of Laboratory Medicine, Chung-Ang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
3College of Pharmacy, Chung-Ang University, Seoul, Korea
4Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
Copyright © 2023 The Korean Society of Critical Care Medicine
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
FUNDING
This research was supported by the National Research Foundation of Korea grant funded by the Korea government (Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning) (2019R1G1A1099373). The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; or decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conceptualization: WYK. Data curation: MSB. Formal analysis: SHY, SYJ. Funding acquisition: WYK. Methodology: WYK. Project administration: WYK. Visualization: WYK, OJK. Writing–original draft: WYK, SHY. Writing–review & editing: OJK, SYJ, MSB.
Characteristics | Group 1 (n=41) | Group 2 (n=54) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|
Age (yr) | 75 (70–84) | 78 (68–84) | 0.94 |
Sex | 0.72 | ||
Male | 22 (54) | 31 (57) | |
Female | 19 (46) | 23 (43) | |
Body mass index (kg/m2) | 21.3 (18.5–23.5) | 21.2 (18.1–24.2) | 0.93 |
Comorbidity | |||
Diabetes | 14 (34) | 26 (48) | 0.17 |
Hypertension | 25 (61) | 34 (63) | 0.84 |
Chronic heart failure | 5 (12) | 4 (7) | 0.49 |
Chronic lung disease | 7 (17) | 15 (28) | 0.22 |
Liver cirrhosis | 4 (10) | 3 (6) | 0.46 |
Chronic kidney disease | 6 (15) | 9 (17) | 0.79 |
Immunosuppressiona) | 15 (37) | 8 (15) | 0.01 |
Nosocomial infection | 17 (42) | 16 (30) | 0.23 |
Cause of sepsis | |||
Pneumonia | 25 (61) | 29 (54) | 0.48 |
Urosepsis | 7 (17) | 13 (24) | 0.41 |
Gastrointestinal/biliary | 8 (20) | 7 (13) | 0.39 |
Bacteremia | 13 (32) | 22 (41) | 0.37 |
ARDS | 9 (22) | 12 (22) | 0.98 |
APACHE II score | 28 (20–35) | 27 (20–33) | 0.47 |
SOFA score | 12±3 | 12±3 | 0.49 |
Antibiotics | 41 (100) | 54 (100) | - |
Mechanical ventilation | 29 (71) | 37 (69) | 0.82 |
Renal replacement therapy | 13 (32) | 22 (41) | 0.37 |
Vital signs and laboratory data | |||
Body temperature (°C) | 36.9 (36.5–37.6) | 37.1 (36.6–37.6) | 0.54 |
Mean arterial pressure (mm Hg) | 59 (52–65) | 62 (54–66) | 0.26 |
Respiratory rate (breaths/min) | 30 (26–32) | 28 (25–32) | 0.38 |
PaO2/FiO2 | 194 (113–281) | 179 (113–248) | 0.67 |
Bicarbonate (mEq/L) | 21.0 (18.3–23.6) | 21.7 (17.6–24.5) | 0.51 |
Creatinine (mg/dl) | 1.3 (0.9–1.9) | 1.3 (0.9–2.3) | 0.96 |
Lymphocyte count (/mm3) | 690±644 | 810±998 | 0.60 |
Total bilirubin (mg/dl) | 0.6 (0.5–1.3) | 0.9 (0.5–1.8) | 0.41 |
C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 200±128 | 188±119 | 0.67 |
Procalcitonin (ng/ml) | 2.4 (0.7–23.4) (n=38) | 5.8 (1.6–40.5) (n=52) | 0.06 |
Lactate (mmol/L) | 1.7 (1.3–3.0) | 2.7 (1.9–4.9) | 0.02 |
Norepinephrine equivalent dose (μg/kg/min) | 0.19±0.21 | 0.29±0.24 | 0.006 |
Duration (day) | |||
Vitamin C | 3.6±0.9 | 4.4±1.2 | 0.002 |
Hydrocortisone | 4.2±2.6 | 5.0±1.9 | 0.004 |
Thiamine | 3.6±0.9 | 4.4±1.2 | 0.002 |
Time from shock onset to vitamin C protocol (hr) | 3 (1–6) | 1 (0–7) | 0.36 |
Values are presented as median (interquartile range), number (%), or mean±standard deviation.
ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; PaO2: arterial partial pressure of oxygen; FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen.
a) Immunosuppression includes malignancies, human immunodeficiency virus infection, severe neutropenia, or administration of immunosuppressive therapy.
Outcomes | Group 1 (n=41) | Group 2 (n=54) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|
Mortality | |||
ICU | 16 (39.0) | 10 (18.5) | 0.03 |
28 Day | 20 (48.8) | 12 (22.2) | 0.007 |
60 Day | 20 (48.8) | 17 (31.5) | 0.09 |
Change in norepinephrine equivalent dose at day 4 (μg/kg/min) | –0.09±0.16 | –0.23±0.31 | <0.001 |
Change in SOFA score at day 4 | 0±5 | –4±3 | 0.002 |
Net fluid retention (ml)a) | |||
Day 1 | 1,280 (696 to 2,791) | 1,118 (240 to 2,261) | 0.28 |
Day 4 | 180 (–338 to 1,053) (n=31) | 315 (–392 to 785) (n=54) | 0.62 |
Day 7 | 279 (–341 to 725) (n=28) | 160 (–769 to 850) (n=49) | 0.73 |
Vasopressor weaning | 31 (76) | 46 (85) | 0.24 |
Vasopressor-free day at day 28 | 26 (17 to 27) | 26 (22 to 27) | 0.55 |
Ventilator weaning | 14 (48) (n=29) | 24 (65) (n=37) | 0.18 |
Ventilator-free day at day 28 | 10±11 (n=29) | 13±11 (n=37) | 0.19 |
Length of stay (day) | |||
ICU | 6 (2 to 14) | 9 (5 to 18) | 0.03 |
Hospital | 22 (16 to 49) | 31 (17 to 50) | 0.07 |
Superinfection | 8 (20) | 14 (26) | 0.46 |
Values are presented as number (%), mean±standard deviation, or median (interquartile range).
ICU: intensive care unit; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.
a) Net fluid retention is calculated as the difference between intake and output of all fluids (urine volume, dialysis volume, drainage volume, and stool weight).
HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; IL: interleukin; TNF: tumor necrosis factor.
a) Adjusted for immunosuppression, nosocomial infection, APACHE II score, SOFA score, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, hydrocortisone duration, IL-10, and inclusion in group 2; b) Immunosuppression includes malignancies, human immunodeficiency virus infection, severe neutropenia, or administration of immunosuppressive therapy.
Group | BIC | AIC | Patients in each predicted group (%) |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
2 | –1,786.28 | –1,731.37 | 43.2 | 56.8 | |||||
3 | –1,787.18 | –1,708.01 | 22.1 | 60.0 | 17.9 | ||||
4 | –1,872.80 | –1,769.37 | 0 | 43.2 | 56.8 | 0 | |||
5 | –1,916.07 | –1,788.37 | 0 | 43.2 | 0 | 56.8 | 0 | ||
6 | –1,849.98 | –1,698.02 | 0 | 8.4 | 29.5 | 48.4 | 13.7 | 0 | |
7 | –1,893.24 | –1,717.02 | 0 | 8.4 | 29.5 | 0 | 48.4 | 13.7 | 0 |
Characteristics | Group 1 (n=41) | Group 2 (n=54) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|
Age (yr) | 75 (70–84) | 78 (68–84) | 0.94 |
Sex | 0.72 | ||
Male | 22 (54) | 31 (57) | |
Female | 19 (46) | 23 (43) | |
Body mass index (kg/m2) | 21.3 (18.5–23.5) | 21.2 (18.1–24.2) | 0.93 |
Comorbidity | |||
Diabetes | 14 (34) | 26 (48) | 0.17 |
Hypertension | 25 (61) | 34 (63) | 0.84 |
Chronic heart failure | 5 (12) | 4 (7) | 0.49 |
Chronic lung disease | 7 (17) | 15 (28) | 0.22 |
Liver cirrhosis | 4 (10) | 3 (6) | 0.46 |
Chronic kidney disease | 6 (15) | 9 (17) | 0.79 |
Immunosuppression |
15 (37) | 8 (15) | 0.01 |
Nosocomial infection | 17 (42) | 16 (30) | 0.23 |
Cause of sepsis | |||
Pneumonia | 25 (61) | 29 (54) | 0.48 |
Urosepsis | 7 (17) | 13 (24) | 0.41 |
Gastrointestinal/biliary | 8 (20) | 7 (13) | 0.39 |
Bacteremia | 13 (32) | 22 (41) | 0.37 |
ARDS | 9 (22) | 12 (22) | 0.98 |
APACHE II score | 28 (20–35) | 27 (20–33) | 0.47 |
SOFA score | 12±3 | 12±3 | 0.49 |
Antibiotics | 41 (100) | 54 (100) | - |
Mechanical ventilation | 29 (71) | 37 (69) | 0.82 |
Renal replacement therapy | 13 (32) | 22 (41) | 0.37 |
Vital signs and laboratory data | |||
Body temperature (°C) | 36.9 (36.5–37.6) | 37.1 (36.6–37.6) | 0.54 |
Mean arterial pressure (mm Hg) | 59 (52–65) | 62 (54–66) | 0.26 |
Respiratory rate (breaths/min) | 30 (26–32) | 28 (25–32) | 0.38 |
PaO2/FiO2 | 194 (113–281) | 179 (113–248) | 0.67 |
Bicarbonate (mEq/L) | 21.0 (18.3–23.6) | 21.7 (17.6–24.5) | 0.51 |
Creatinine (mg/dl) | 1.3 (0.9–1.9) | 1.3 (0.9–2.3) | 0.96 |
Lymphocyte count (/mm3) | 690±644 | 810±998 | 0.60 |
Total bilirubin (mg/dl) | 0.6 (0.5–1.3) | 0.9 (0.5–1.8) | 0.41 |
C-reactive protein (mg/L) | 200±128 | 188±119 | 0.67 |
Procalcitonin (ng/ml) | 2.4 (0.7–23.4) (n=38) | 5.8 (1.6–40.5) (n=52) | 0.06 |
Lactate (mmol/L) | 1.7 (1.3–3.0) | 2.7 (1.9–4.9) | 0.02 |
Norepinephrine equivalent dose (μg/kg/min) | 0.19±0.21 | 0.29±0.24 | 0.006 |
Duration (day) | |||
Vitamin C | 3.6±0.9 | 4.4±1.2 | 0.002 |
Hydrocortisone | 4.2±2.6 | 5.0±1.9 | 0.004 |
Thiamine | 3.6±0.9 | 4.4±1.2 | 0.002 |
Time from shock onset to vitamin C protocol (hr) | 3 (1–6) | 1 (0–7) | 0.36 |
Outcomes | Group 1 (n=41) | Group 2 (n=54) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|
Mortality | |||
ICU | 16 (39.0) | 10 (18.5) | 0.03 |
28 Day | 20 (48.8) | 12 (22.2) | 0.007 |
60 Day | 20 (48.8) | 17 (31.5) | 0.09 |
Change in norepinephrine equivalent dose at day 4 (μg/kg/min) | –0.09±0.16 | –0.23±0.31 | <0.001 |
Change in SOFA score at day 4 | 0±5 | –4±3 | 0.002 |
Net fluid retention (ml) |
|||
Day 1 | 1,280 (696 to 2,791) | 1,118 (240 to 2,261) | 0.28 |
Day 4 | 180 (–338 to 1,053) (n=31) | 315 (–392 to 785) (n=54) | 0.62 |
Day 7 | 279 (–341 to 725) (n=28) | 160 (–769 to 850) (n=49) | 0.73 |
Vasopressor weaning | 31 (76) | 46 (85) | 0.24 |
Vasopressor-free day at day 28 | 26 (17 to 27) | 26 (22 to 27) | 0.55 |
Ventilator weaning | 14 (48) (n=29) | 24 (65) (n=37) | 0.18 |
Ventilator-free day at day 28 | 10±11 (n=29) | 13±11 (n=37) | 0.19 |
Length of stay (day) | |||
ICU | 6 (2 to 14) | 9 (5 to 18) | 0.03 |
Hospital | 22 (16 to 49) | 31 (17 to 50) | 0.07 |
Superinfection | 8 (20) | 14 (26) | 0.46 |
Characteristics | Unadjusted HR (95% CI) | P-value | Adjusted HRa) (95% CI) | P-value |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age | 1.02 (0.99–1.05) | 0.28 | ||
Male | 0.91 (0.47–1.73) | 0.91 | ||
Body mass index | 0.97 (0.90–1.04) | 0.43 | ||
Diabetes | 0.93 (0.48–1.78) | 0.82 | ||
Hypertension | 1.02 (0.52–1.97) | 0.97 | ||
Chronic heart failure | 1.38 (0.49–3.89) | 0.55 | ||
Chronic lung disease | 1.10 (0.52–2.34) | 0.80 | ||
Liver cirrhosis | 1.11 (0.34–3.61) | 0.87 | ||
Chronic kidney disease | 0.73 (0.28–1.86) | 0.50 | ||
Immunosuppressionb) | 2.28 (1.16–4.49) | 0.02 | 1.03 (0.43–2.45) | 0.95 |
Nosocomial infection | 2.17 (1.14–4.15) | 0.02 | 1.51 (0.76–3.03) | 0.24 |
Pneumonia | 1.75 (0.88–3.48) | 0.11 | ||
Urosepsis | 0.53 (0.21–1.37) | 0.19 | ||
Gastrointestinal/biliary | 0.63 (0.22–1.77) | 0.38 | ||
Bacteremia | 1.22 (0.63–2.36) | 0.55 | ||
ARDS | 1.78 (0.89–3.54) | 0.10 | ||
APACHE II score | 1.11 (1.06–1.16) | <0.001 | 1.09 (1.04–1.14) | <0.001 |
SOFA score | 1.23 (1.09–1.39) | 0.001 | 1.06 (0.90–1.25) | 0.51 |
Mechanical ventilation | 4.52 (1.60–12.79) | 0.004 | 1.30 (0.35–4.78) | 0.69 |
Renal replacement therapy | 2.73 (1.42–5.22) | 0.002 | 2.02 (0.96–4.24) | 0.06 |
Lymphocyte count | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.55 | ||
C-reactive protein | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.85 | ||
Lactate | 1.08 (0.96–1.21) | 0.19 | ||
Norepinephrine equivalent dose | 0.34 (0.06–1.88) | 0.22 | ||
Vitamin C duration | 0.83 (0.60–1.14) | 0.24 | ||
Thiamine duration | 0.83 (0.60–1.14) | 0.24 | ||
Hydrocortisone duration | 1.17 (1.03–1.34) | 0.02 | 1.14 (1.01–1.30) | 0.04 |
Time from shock onset to vitamin C protocol | 1.01 (0.96–1.05) | 0.77 | ||
IL-6 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.73 | ||
TNF-α | 1.01 (0.00–1.01) | 0.16 | ||
IL-10 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.04 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | 0.17 |
Group 2 | 0.48 (0.25–0.92) | 0.03 | 0.32 (0.16–0.64) | 0.001 |
The optimal model (the two-group model suggested) was considered based on the pattern of results and the balancing of BIC values and subgroup sizes. BIC: Bayesian information criterion; AIC: Akaike information criterion; GBMTM: group-based multi-trajectory modeling.
Values are presented as median (interquartile range), number (%), or mean±standard deviation. ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; PaO2: arterial partial pressure of oxygen; FiO2: fraction of inspired oxygen. Immunosuppression includes malignancies, human immunodeficiency virus infection, severe neutropenia, or administration of immunosuppressive therapy.
Values are presented as number (%), mean±standard deviation, or median (interquartile range). ICU: intensive care unit; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment. Net fluid retention is calculated as the difference between intake and output of all fluids (urine volume, dialysis volume, drainage volume, and stool weight).
HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; ARDS: acute respiratory distress syndrome; APACHE: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; SOFA: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; IL: interleukin; TNF: tumor necrosis factor. Adjusted for immunosuppression, nosocomial infection, APACHE II score, SOFA score, mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, hydrocortisone duration, IL-10, and inclusion in group 2; b) Immunosuppression includes malignancies, human immunodeficiency virus infection, severe neutropenia, or administration of immunosuppressive therapy.